Looking at the CNN exit polls from this and the last two elections, here are a couple of interesting fact:
Compared to 2006, the share of Hispanic voters has not increased (8% of voters in both years). Don’t pundits keep telling us the Hispanic vote is going to be dominant any day now?
Compared to 2006, African American turnout has not increased (10% of voters in both years). We all knew those voters they would be less enthusiastic than 2008. But in 2010 Obama did not manage to enthusiast African American voters relative to the pre-Obama period.
In the last midterm, 32% of voters identified as Conservative. This year it is 41%.
In 2008, first time voters went an amazing 69% to Obama compared to 30% for McCain. This year Republicans actually won first time voters, 48%-47%.
Compared to 2006, the youth vote has decreased, from 12% to 10% of the vote. In 2008 it was 18% of the vote! Even John Stewart didn’t manage to engage the youth vote.
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Hispanics may not have increased in share of votes cast, but they're rapidly approaching 20% of overall resident population.
ReplyDeleteIt doesn't really matter that they're not voting. The rubicon is being crossed.
If Sweden will be Islamic, then the USA will be Hispanic. So say present trends. Europa delenda est?